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沃伦·巴菲特的伯克希尔公司斥资50亿美元收购台积电股份

LW资产管理公司(LW Asset Management)基金经理安迪•王(Andy Wong)表示:“从长期来看，凭借卓越的技术领先地位，台积电是一个极具价值的投资对象。”

  • 彭博
  • 美国时间2022年11月21日11:36
对于在全球寻找逢低买入机会的投资者来说芯片行业，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司公司可能会提出建议:台湾半导体制造有限公司．

沃伦•巴菲特(Warren Buffett)最近一个季度，在苹果股价暴跌导致逾2,500亿美元市值蒸发之际，该公司收购了50亿美元的股份。该公司尚未对这笔交易公开置评，但市场观察人士将此次收购归因于台积电估值低廉，技术领先，基本面稳健。

伯克希尔的收购，以及老虎环球管理有限责任公司的类似举动，可能表明在需求放缓和中美紧张关系的动荡时期之后，芯片行业正在出现价值。越来越多的华尔街银行再次看好台积电，摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)的分析师表示，该股已达到“一个很好的切入点”。

LW资产管理公司(LW Asset Management)基金经理安迪•王(Andy Wong)表示:“从长期来看，凭借卓越的技术领先地位，台积电是一个极具价值的投资对象。”“随着物联网、可再生能源和汽车需求的迅速增长，巴菲特可能会投资于未来10年的增长。”

沃伦·巴菲特的伯克希尔公司斥资50亿美元收购台积电股份

自上周伯克希尔宣布收购台积电以来，台积电在台湾的股价上涨了约10%。摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley) 11月8日的一份报告称，受地缘政治风险影响，这些公司的股价低于下行周期估值，有30%至40%的折扣。

根据彭博社(Bloomberg)汇编的数据，基于其明年的预期收益，该股的估值约为12.6倍。高盛集团(Goldman Sachs Group Inc.)估计这将是10年平均水平的低端。该公司的股价低于费城证券交易所半导体指数(Philadelphia Stock Exchange Semiconductor Index)的多数成分股，该指数追踪美国最大的上市芯片公司。

高盛分析师在11月16日的一份报告中写道:“鉴于台积电出色的执行力，我们预计它将在行业下行周期中继续表现出相对于其他同行的弹性。”他们补充说，估值具有吸引力，该公司最适合抓住该行业在5G、人工智能、高性能计算和电动汽车方面的长期结构性增长。

现金流

台积电还有另一个优势:尽管行业增长放缓，但该公司今年仍实现了两位数的销售增长和远高于50%的毛利率。这使该股今年迄今的跌幅限制在21%，帮助其表现优于美国等同行美光科技公司和SK海力士公司。

分析师表示，这家台湾公司健康的现金流和稳定的派息历史也可能是吸引巴菲特的原因之一。

晨星亚洲(Morningstar Asia Ltd.)股票分析师Phelix Lee表示:“台积电(及其他晶圆代工厂)在争夺技术/产能领先地位的过程中，都不得不承担巨额资本支出，但历史表明，尽管进行了资本支出，台积电仍能产生可观的现金流。”他补充说，自本世纪头十年以来，该公司一直在派发股息。

根据彭博社汇编的数据，该股最新的股息率为2.6%，高于美光的0.8%，几乎与SK海力士持平。

不过，尽管巴菲特的押注提振了散户对该股的信心，但由于地缘政治风险和芯片行业的库存调整，短期内该股可能会继续波动。

沃伦·巴菲特的伯克希尔公司斥资50亿美元收购台积电股份

在美中两国争夺全球科技行业领导地位之际，半导体行业正处于两国之间日益加深的分歧的中心。华盛顿对为中国客户生产的高端芯片实施了更高程度的制裁，专门防止这些芯片流入中国军方之手。

为了反映这些风险，分析师自2月份以来已将台积电股票的平均目标价下调了约30%。今年以来，该公司在美国上市的股票下跌超过30%，与全球半导体基准指数的跌幅一致。

国泰台湾5G +通信ETF基金经理Jason Su表示:“投资者担心库存高于正常水平，库存尚未显示出缓解迹象。”他说:“包括台积电在内的公司早些时候表示，他们预计库存调整将持续到明年上半年。”他补充说，在库存调整完成后，芯片类股可能会反弹。

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For investors looking for a dip-buying opportunity in the global chip industry<\/a>, Berkshire Hathaway<\/a> Inc. may have a recommendation: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co<\/a>.

Warren Buffett<\/a>\u2019s conglomerate picked up a $5 billion stake in the firm in the recent quarter amid a rout that wiped out over $250 billion from the stock. It hasn\u2019t commented publicly on the deal but market watchers attribute the purchase to TSMC<\/a>\u2019s cheap valuations, technology leadership and solid fundamentals.

Berkshire\u2019s buy, along with a similar move by Tiger Global Management LLC, may suggest that value is emerging in the chip industry after a turbulent period marked by slowing demand and US-China tensions. A growing number of Wall Street banks have reaffirmed bullish calls on TSMC, with analysts at Morgan Stanley saying the stock has reached \u201ca good entry point.\u201d

<\/div><\/div>\u201cWith its superior technology leadership, TSMC is a great value play in the long-term if you look past the current semiconductor downcycle,\u201d said Andy Wong, fund manager at LW Asset Management. \u201cBuffett could be investing in the next-decade growth with burgeoning demand from IoT, renewable and automobiles.\u201d

\"Warren<\/figure>
TSMC\u2019s shares have jumped about 10% in Taiwan since Berkshire\u2019s acquisition was disclosed last week. Morgan Stanley says they are trading below their downcycle valuation with a 30% to 40% discount due to geopolitical risks, according to a Nov. 8 note.

The stock has a valuation multiple of around 12.6 times based on its estimated earnings for the next year, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. estimates that to be the lower end of the 10-year average. The company is cheaper than most of the members of the Philadelphia Stock Exchange Semiconductor Index, which tracks the biggest US-listed chip companies.

\u201cWe expect TSMC to continue to show its resilience versus other peers during the industry downcycle given its superior execution,\u201d Goldman analysts wrote in a Nov. 16 note. Valuations are attractive and the firm is best placed to capture the industry\u2019s long-term structural growth in 5G, artificial intelligence, high-performance computing and electric vehicles, they added.

<\/div><\/div>Cash Flow

<\/b>TSMC also has another advantage: it has managed to deliver double-digit sales growth and a gross margin well above 50% this year despite a slowdown in the sector. This has capped the stock\u2019s year-to-date loss at 21%, helping it outperform peers such as Micron Technology<\/a> Inc. and SK Hynix<\/a> Inc.

The Taiwanese company\u2019s history of healthy cash flow and stable dividends may have also helped draw Buffett, according to analysts.

\u201cTSMC (and other foundries) all have to incur heavy capital expenditure in the race for tech\/capacity leadership, but history shows TSMC has managed to generate respectable cash flows despite capex,\u201d said Phelix Lee, equity analyst at Morningstar Asia Ltd. The company has a track record of paying dividends since the 2000s, he added.

The stock\u2019s latest dividend yield is 2.6%, higher than Micron\u2019s 0.8% and almost on par with SK Hynix\u2019s, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Still, while Buffett\u2019s bet has boosted retail sentiment toward the stock, the shares may continue to experience swings in the short term due to geopolitical risks and inventory adjustments in the chip industry.

\"Warren<\/figure>
The semiconductor sector is at the center of a growing rift between the US and China as the two nations vie for leadership in the global technology industry. Washington has imposed elevated sanctions on high-end chips produced for Chinese customers specifically to forestall them making their way into the hands of the Chinese military.

To reflect the risks, analysts have cut the average target price for TSMC\u2019s stock by about 30% since February. Its shares listed in the US are down over 30% this year, in line with the drop posted by the global semiconductor benchmark.

\u201cInvestors are worried about higher-than-usual inventory, which shows no signs of easing yet,\u201d said Jason Su, fund manager at Cathay Taiwan 5G Plus Communications ETF. \u201cCompanies including TSMC said earlier they expect inventory correction to continue through first half next year,\u201d he said, adding that chip stocks are likely to rebound after inventory adjustments are completed.<\/div><\/div>
Follow and connect with us on Twitter<\/a>, Facebook<\/a>, Linkedin<\/a>, Youtube<\/a><\/div>","NumberOfSentences":{"minfo":"31.0","minfoseo":"31-0"},"AutomatedReadabilityIndex":{"minfo":"14.0","minfoseo":"14-0"},"LastPublishMilliTime":{"minfo":"1669013103323","minfoseo":"1669013103323"},"ReadabilityGradeLevel":{"minfo":"College","minfoseo":"college"},"GadgetsMarkedReviewed":{"minfo":"0","minfoseo":"0"},"HashCode":{"minfo":"1535527419","minfoseo":"1535527419"},"latestnewsflag":{"minfo":"1.0","minfoseo":"1-0"},"NumberOfCharacters":{"minfo":"4274.0","minfoseo":"4274-0"},"ImageCreditAuthor":{"minfo":"Charlotte Yang and Cindy Wang","minfoseo":"charlotte-yang-and-cindy-wang"},"NumberOfWords":{"minfo":"673.0","minfoseo":"673-0"},"SHOWEXTERNALAUTHOR":{"minfo":"1.0","minfoseo":"1-0"},"key":{"0":{"keyid":"171929","value":"tsmc","smid":"0","keynameseo":"tsmc","keytype":"","keycount":"totalcount","weightage":"100"},"1":{"keyid":"4124696","value":"warren buffett stocks","smid":"0","keynameseo":"warren-buffett-stocks","keytype":"","keycount":"totalcount","weightage":"70"},"2":{"keyid":"6358963","value":"warren buffett","smid":"0","keynameseo":"warren-buffett","keytype":"","keycount":"totalcount","weightage":"20"},"3":{"keyid":"15570734","value":"tmsc shares","smid":"0","keynameseo":"tmsc-shares","keytype":"","keycount":"totalcount","weightage":"20"},"4":{"keyid":"793177","value":"taiwan semiconductor manufacturing co","smid":"0","keynameseo":"taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-co","keytype":"","keycount":"totalcount","weightage":"20"},"5":{"keyid":"1120739","value":"SK Hynix","smid":"0","keynameseo":"SK-Hynix","keytype":"","keycount":"totalcount","weightage":"20"},"6":{"keyid":"154806","value":"Micron Technology","smid":"0","keynameseo":"Micron-Technology","keytype":"","keycount":"totalcount","weightage":"20"},"8":{"keyid":"1055702","value":"chip industry","smid":"0","keynameseo":"chip-industry","keytype":"","keycount":"totalcount","weightage":"20"},"9":{"keyid":"6362665","value":"berkshire hathaway","smid":"0","keynameseo":"berkshire-hathaway","keytype":"","keycount":"totalcount","weightage":"20"}},"authorsplit":[],"similarlytagged":[{"msid":"97787191","stname":"India likely to invite more companies to set up semiconductor units","artsyn":"The second round of applications is expected to open as early as mid-March. Last year, India had accepted five proposals for the scheme with the application window having closed in February 2022.","seolocation":"telecomnews\/india-likely-to-invite-more-companies-to-set-up-semiconductor-units","seolocationalt":"India likely to invite more companies to set up semiconductor units","url_seo":"india-likely-to-invite-more-companies-to-set-up-semiconductor-units"},{"msid":"97780926","stname":"Chinese chipmaker SMIC warns of weak outlook despite record 2022 revenue","artsyn":"Backed by funding from Beijing, SMIC is China's best hope for becoming a global leader in chip manufacturing that can rival Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Corporation (TSMC), the industry's largest foundry.","seolocation":"telecomnews\/chinese-chipmaker-smic-warns-of-weak-outlook-despite-record-2022-revenue","seolocationalt":"Chinese chipmaker SMIC warns of weak outlook despite record 2022 revenue","url_seo":"chinese-chipmaker-smic-warns-of-weak-outlook-despite-record-2022-revenue"},{"msid":"97691633","stname":"Taiwan Jan exports down for 5th month, China shipments slump","artsyn":"Exports dropped 21.2% by value last month from a year earlier to $31.51 billion, the Ministry of Finance said on Tuesday.","seolocation":"telecomnews\/taiwan-jan-exports-down-for-5th-month-china-shipments-slump","seolocationalt":"Taiwan Jan exports down for 5th month, China shipments slump","url_seo":"taiwan-jan-exports-down-for-5th-month-china-shipments-slump"},{"msid":"97575211","stname":"Japanese chip venture Rapidus needs $54 billion to begin production, says chairman","artsyn":"That plan may be Japan's last best chance to revive its aging semiconductor industry as Japan and the United States set aside old industrial rivalries to take on China amid growing geopolitical tension.","seolocation":"telecomnews\/japanese-chip-venture-rapidus-needs-54-billion-to-begin-production-says-chairman","seolocationalt":"Japanese chip venture Rapidus needs $54 billion to begin production, says chairman","url_seo":"japanese-chip-venture-rapidus-needs-54-billion-to-begin-production-says-chairman"},{"msid":"97552116","stname":"Chip equipment maker Siltronic says demand still high as end-markets slow","artsyn":"The global technology industry has been battling a sharp and sudden downturn in demand since late 2022, as companies cut spending on tech products and services while consumers spend less on discretionary goods amid surging inflation.","seolocation":"telecomnews\/chip-equipment-maker-siltronic-says-demand-still-high-as-end-markets-slow","seolocationalt":"Chip equipment maker Siltronic says demand still high as end-markets slow","url_seo":"chip-equipment-maker-siltronic-says-demand-still-high-as-end-markets-slow"},{"msid":"97484388","stname":"Factbox: Chinese chipmakers caught in U.S.-China tech spat","artsyn":"While Beijing has ploughed vast sums of money into cultivating a domestic chip industry, its fabrication plants, known as fabs, still heavily rely on foreign-made equipment that they use to turn slabs of silicon into chips that power hardware.","seolocation":"telecomnews\/factbox-chinese-chipmakers-caught-in-u-s-china-tech-spat","seolocationalt":"Factbox: Chinese chipmakers caught in U.S.-China tech spat","url_seo":"factbox-chinese-chipmakers-caught-in-u-s-china-tech-spat"},{"msid":"97437434","stname":"Japan's chip equipment makers in the dark about new China export restrictions","artsyn":"Reuters contacted 10 chip-related companies, of which five - Advantest Corp, Nikon Corp, Resonac Holdings Corp, Lasertec Corp and Shin-Etsu Chemical Co Ltd - said they were unaware of any contact from Japan's Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry about any new restrictions reportedly agreed by Japan, the United States and the Netherlands last week to stymie rival China's technological advancement.","seolocation":"telecomnews\/japans-chip-equipment-makers-in-the-dark-about-new-china-export-restrictions","seolocationalt":"Japan's chip equipment makers in the dark about new China export restrictions","url_seo":"japans-chip-equipment-makers-in-the-dark-about-new-china-export-restrictions"},{"msid":"97388768","stname":"Chip toolmaker KLA flags weak Q3 as customers use up inventory; 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